Showing posts with label Market Dynamics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Market Dynamics. Show all posts

Jan 12, 2026

2025 in Review: From Calamity, to Promise and Peril

The year began in beaten down mode with industry analysts reporting on shrinking IoT businesses and ‘calamitous’ exits. In the first case, Germany’s Software AG was the culprit for divesting its Cumolocity industrial IoT interests. A few days later, U-blox announced that it could not find a buyer for its cellular IoT business and would therefore shut down the entity. Citing several other corporate exits, LightReading positioned this as the latest IoT calamity to hit the industry.  

Matters did improve over the course of the year, aided by Vodafone’s ambitions to ‘hyperscale’ IoT and examples of making IoT more accessible via generative AI tools. While there are upsides to these developments, they raise concerns about IoT vulnerabilities. As we will see though other industry developments over 2025, there is always a flip side to the success that comes from economy-wide adoption of IoT.

IoT solution providers lead the way

In 2007, I began monitoring corporate initiatives in the IoT industry. In those days, mobile network operators (MNOs) were the predominant actors as the industry sought new markets for growth. The roughly fifty initiatives occurring in 2025 highlight the importance of solution providers. This is a sign of the importance of delivering value by solving everyday business challenges. Solution providers encompass a wide range of organizations, including entities such as AWS IoT, Siemens and Microsoft, and PTC

‘Solutions’ map to the upper layers of the IoT stack. Below these are the industry layers that deal with ‘connectivity’ and ‘connected devices.’ Connectivity shows up in the form of MNO, MVNO (virtual), LPNO (low power), and satellite connectivity providers. A continuing development in 2025 is the rapprochement between cellular and satellite industries. This was best expressed by a policy executive who remarked that it was now not uncommon to come across satellite industry representatives in meetings at the GSMA’s offices. 

Underpinning solutions, the coverage aspect of connectivity continues to matter for the industry. A few examples are: Vodafone’s partnership with Mobily to expand the former’s Saudi Arabian footprint; SingTel addressing global IoT deployments by allying with FloLive; and, Verizon adding SingTel and Skylo partnerships for global IoT. 

Working Across the IoT Industry Chain 

Connectivity partnerships – one MNO partnering with another MNO from a different geographic region - are a form of in-segment or horizontal industry initiative. However, effective IoT spans the industry chain because several elements are essential for a complete solution. One way to visualize this is by studying cross-industry connections. For 2025, these amounted to over 60% of the initiatives. Solution Providers, for example, are a good example of cross-segment reach. In addition to standalone solution provider initiatives (4), organizations in this segment partnered with other solution providers (4), MNOs (5), vendors (4), and investors (4). 

Vendors Unlock New Industry Segments 

The third-ranking group in the industry map is vendors. Many of their initiatives focused on connected devices and capability enhancements. Examples include G+D launching a credit card sized IoT tracker for shipping applications and Sequans using the acquisition route to boost its RedCap activities. 

Across the industry, the topic of Edge IoT continues to capture attention. Qualcomm was most consistent in illustrating how this dynamic is playing out. Its corporate initiatives included the acquisition of Edge Impulse with an emphasis on AI and IoT capabilities. Qualcomm then established an AI and IoT engineering center in Abu Dhabi before acquiring Arduino to improve developers’ access to edge computing and AI

Governments’ Growing Role in IoT 

With IoT becoming more central to the economy, government will have an increasingly important influence on the market. Three developments illustrate trends for the future. Firstly, European regulators approved a unified framework for non-cellular satellite IoT, overcoming years of patchwork regulation. Middle East regulators are likely to follow. 

In India, there are plans to develop an IoT-ready UPI (universal payments infrastructure) system to automate payment transactions through smart devices and not just phones. This would enable UPI payments through smart devices like TVs, fridges, washing machines, cars, and smart watches, among others. 

Finally, the USA will require U.S. Cyber Trust Mark labeling on all federally procured connected devices after January 4, 2027. The requirement that connected devices meet baseline cybersecurity standards (secure software updates, data protection measures, and vulnerability reporting mechanisms) will have spillover effects into the wider IoT market. 

Promise and Peril 

Towards the year end, Vodafone and 1NCE initiatives drew attention to much greater promise for the IoT came. In the case of Vodafone, its Americas Managing Director, Dennis Nikles, described plans to act on Vodafone’s hyperscaler ambition for IoT. This will involve a shift from scale to hyperscale (a topic I have covered in the past), partnering (in place of competing), and simplification (to cut complexity and costs) as a strategy. 

The second development, addressing the importance of moving beyond ‘connectivity’ as a value proposition came from 1NCE’s launch of its ‘Fixers’ line of business. This aims to expand beyond software and connectivity by leveraging implementation experience from over 27,000 customers. ‘Fixers’ will provide advisory services on building better IoT solutions, driving efficient usage of existing intelligent products, and debugging technical faults. 

With IoT devices and systems becoming more prevalent, value creation opportunities multiply as does the prospect for peril. Two stories illustrate grounds for concern. The first involves French authorities arresting two crew members of a passenger ferry. They are suspected of infecting the ship with malware with the possibility of remotely controlling the vessel

In the second story, Andrej Karpathy, a cofounder of OpenAI, experimented to see if Claude Code could get into his home automation system. His prompt led Claude Code to find his Lutron controllers on the local Wi-Fi network (check for open ports, connect, get metadata, and identify devices and their firmware). There followed an Internet search for the PDF for his system and then instructions on what button to press to pair and get necessary certificates. It then connected to the system and found all his home devices (lights, shades, HVAC temperature control, motion sensors etc.). The routine then ran checks by turning his kitchen lights on and off. 

Prospects for 2026 

Industry developments over the course of 2025 point to an evolution in industry mindset, with larger organizations addressing new market and business growth opportunities. These go beyond connections and connectivity as IoT meshes with complementary technologies such as AI, digital twins, data with meaning, and payments. As combinations of these technologies work their way into industry and public infrastructure, there remain questions about how the IoT industry will deal with adversity arising from malicious actors to accidental engineers over-relying on generative AI. There must be sources of opportunity for value added propositions targeting users and infrastructure via data protection, security, and trustworthiness propositions.

 

Sep 4, 2025

Telecoms, Transformers, and Transportation

There is a common challenge that affects telecommunications, transportation, and now, the application of transformer technologies in AI systems. Telecommunications systems consist of multiple mobile networks and service providers. In many countries, there can be a handful of competing network operators, their direct-to-user service-provider arms, and multiple indirect channels in the form of (mobile) virtual network operators (MVNOs). 

One aspect of the value in this arrangement is that users of all providers can communicate with one another. This was not always the case. In the past, each operator aimed to keep customers on their network. Examples include SMS messaging during the USA in the late ‘90s, and walled garden services in the mobile internet era. There is a similar dynamic in the AI domain with large language model (LLM) providers attempting to bond consumers to their offerings. 

Jun 4, 2025

AI, APIs, and IoT

Telecommunications service providers have high aspirations for network APIs. Meanwhile, hyperscalers are equally ambitious about AI (language models, prompt engineering, and agents). In both cases, players are looking for ways to capitalize, respectively, on network and (GPU-equipped) data center investments. AI and APIs developments are now starting to converge because they are complementary technologies. Here, for example, is BT’s Managing Director of Research and Network Strategy, Gabriela Styf Sjöman, discussing emerging prospects in a TelecomTV interview

Mar 26, 2025

Telecommunications Futures – A Perspective From China

Mobile networks have become essential digital infrastructure for everyday activities.

High-speed connectivity dominates the conversation around wireless communications services. On a recent trip through London, I came across Connected London Wi-Fi which aims to improve visitor and Westminster resident experiences by tackling digital and technology inequality through easy-to-access and free internet connectivity. Later, as I arrived in the US, Verizon was encouraging spectators to enjoy Super Bowl LIX exclusively over its purpose-built, stadium-wide 5G network

The emphasis on high-speed connectivity continues to prevail; while they are indoors - 90% of time of their time - US users consume more than 80 percent of their data. Finally, with the advent of 6G, it seems obligatory to mention faster communications and remote surgery.

Do these usage scenarios represent the full spectrum of communications use cases? Not likely based on the prevalence of global users, many of whom live in China and India. Many also lead a rural and mobile existence, i.e., not dominated by indoor use but requiring dependable and ubiquitous wide-area connectivity. So, what does usage look like in other parts of the world?

Jan 5, 2025

2024 in Review: Wider Factors are Enveloping the IoT Industry

An important lesson from 2024’s IoT corporate initiatives is about an industry that is evolving to a post-connectivity world. This is due to the dynamics of market-demand, one of which is to treat IoT connectivity as a component in a system-level application. An example would be the case of connectivity being a part of an electric vehicle, IoT system. The introduction of regulatory protections represents another market driver. Here, examples are evident in consumer education and consumer protection initiatives.

The impending arrival of 6G is another factor. In anticipation, the communications industry is adjusting to the commercial necessities for 5G through by focusing more on enterprise customers and business modernization requirements. Examples here relate to private networks for smart factories and digital transformation. 

As a standalone technology, IoT is no longer a magnet for hype. Topics such as AI (generative and traditional), digital twins, and enterprise or private networking are generating plenty of noise. 

Oct 15, 2024

Unlocking 5G’s Innovation-to-Market Bottleneck

Ultra reliable, low-latency communications (URLLC) accounts for the largest number of standard essential patent (SEP) declarations for 5G. This is based on data from GreyB Services, a specialist in intellectual property (IP) for the communications sector.  

However, URLLC’s strong showing of URLLC does not show up in market offerings. Instead, 5G market propositions feature mobile broadband for consumers which map to the enhanced mobile broadband (eMBB) category. The difference suggests a disconnect between supply-side technologies, where innovators have invested, and commercial outcomes that should address demand from gaming and enterprise types of application.

 Explaining the difference is complex. It involves the life-cycle steps of taking innovation through standardization into market ready networking equipment. Then, communications service providers (CSPs) face decisions in balancing the rewards from new propositions against the costs of incremental technology licensing fees and business model changes. Value-chain bottlenecks also arise when insufficient evidence about end-user demand results in corporate hesitancy. 

May 1, 2024

Central Agency in Telecommunications

Mobile network operators (MNO) have long been the engine at the heart of the modern communications industry. With operating licenses and obligations set by government, MNOs’ reach stretched from the shaping of technology standards in 3GPP to deciding what communications services consumers would get.

From the 2000s, however, internet era dynamics lessened the revenues dominance of voice communication; messaging, data, and media services filled the gap, beginning with the hype around 3G. That is when the MNO cog started to lose some of its motive force as the communications industry began to resemble an increasingly intricate machine.

Mar 3, 2024

A $300bn Market for Telco-APIs

How much of the opportunity will mobile network operators capture? 

The business opportunity to access mobile network capabilities via application programming interfaces (APIs was one of the top stories at MWC 2024. Valued at $300 billion by McKinsey, the management consultancy, the scale of opportunity positions APIs as a vehicle to move the industry’s revenue dial materially.

However, the opportunity will be complex to realize. From this GSMA webinar, it was evident that business model and monetization frameworks are a work in progress. In addition, market realization depends on a multi-party service delivery chain; critical elements to the telco API ecosystem reside outside of mobile network operators’ (MNOs) control. Finally, the mobile industry’s focus on API monetization and revenues puts the sector at risk of overlooking wider considerations and key market-development levers. 

Nov 27, 2023

Shifting Paradigms Set to Shape 6G

How is North America affecting policy change and industry competition?

The participation of White House and Congressional speakers at 6G World’s recent symposium shine a light on the strategic prioritization of next generation communications systems. Political participation matters in the context of 6G leadership ambitions, the practicalities of which I outlined in this three-part article series for 6G World - 1: Leadership, 2: Purpose, 3: Leverage

The event was equally important for shedding light on how industry stakeholders are approaching emerging 6G topics and market development activities. The mix of discussions spanned academic research, commercial and operational implications of 6G, industry competition, long-term Federal funding programs, policy priorities, standardization, and vertical-industry requirements. Rather than summarize each panel discussion chronologically, here are several threads that ran through the different sessions, beginning with the need to learn from the past. 

Jan 6, 2023

2022 in Review: A Sudden Shock of Realism

A sudden shock

Amazon opened 2022 with announcements targeting the smart home community that is forming around the Matter protocol and opportunities for IoT in non-residential sectors. These two initiatives are examples of how some large organizations are trying to have a “finger in many pies” to make the most of the variety and scope of IoT opportunities. 

2022 closed with a flurry of Matter-compliant product launches from a range of large and small businesses. The year-long journey and commitment to an industry-alliance model point to a degree of realism about the IoT market. Behind the technology fanfare, they highlight how businesses and getting to grips with commercial market-development and the technical challenges associated with interoperability, both of which are needed for scale. Meaningful collaboration seems to be taking hold compared to “go-it-alone” strategies. 

Nov 22, 2022

Business Reengineering and Twitter

The recent and abrupt change in Twitter’s governance model has large businesses scaling back their advertising spend on the platform. Anecdotally, advertisers spend a small proportion of their budgets on Twitter compared to larger scale platforms such as Facebook and YouTube. As a result, advertisers can disengage gradually without completely losing touch with the public.

May 23, 2022

IoT is Dead; Long Live IoT!

Copenhagen Business School recently hosted an expert panel [1] to explore how algorithms and data shape competition in the context of platforms. These might be e-commerce or social media platforms that exploit consumer data for advertising and behavioral-nudging purposes. The dynamics of this market are changing, partly due to privacy regulations. Competitive strategies, such as Apple’s App Tracking Transparency (ATT) offering, are another factor [2]. 

Among the economic, competitive strategy and technology topics under discussion, the discussion around data seemed particularly relevant to how the Internet of Things (IoT) market is developing. 

Apr 9, 2022

IoT Day: Strategy and Competitive Advantage

Over the past few years, the World IoT Day movement [1] has drawn considerable attention to the opportunities presented by IoT technologies. As the industry scales up, strategists will want to study long term and structural changes that will shape the market in years to come. This is important, both for organizations intending to adopt IoT and solution providers hoping to strike it big. 

Late in 2021, the strategy consultancy McKinsey updated its 2015 study and concluded that the IoT was coming of age [2]. If nothing else, the investment in making this update sends a signal that IoT is firmly on the corporate agenda. Firms need to treat IoT as essential to future business prospects. IoT is no longer a headline grabber, a discretionary investment, or a niche application. 

Jan 12, 2022

2021 in Review: Competing Segments, Strategies and Time Horizons

Much has changed over the last 10 years that I have published this annual review of corporate initiatives in the IoT sector. I do not track each and every development in the way that the professional market analyst firms do in this tracker of 1200 IoT start-ups [1]. 

Instead, I focus on industry patterns and structural developments that correspond to emerging market opportunities for new and established businesses. Continuing this approach leads me to reflect on three themes in this review of 2021 activities. The first theme touches on market structure and segments that are taking shape. Such specialization is a phenomenon that occurs when a market attains scale. The second explores strategies for different strategic horizons in a couple of key segments. The third theme deals with communities of interest and how industry players are tackling issues related to wider economic benefits beyond those delivered by individual IoT solutions. 

I conclude this review by touching on some of the emerging developments that adopters should factor in their system design and IoT procurement plans. These also carry implications for product development managers on the supply-side of the industry. 

Market Structure & Segments

Looking through some fifty corporate events over 2021, the supply side market challenge is to make it as easy as possible to bring new users onboard by tailoring distinct channels to market. Roughly a third of these events involve organizations lower down the solution stack partnering with service providers that operate higher up the solution stack. This type of arrangement provides the means for packaging a vendor’s offerings (hardware components or an IoT application) to gain access to new markets or to target the service-provider partner’s customer base. 

In terms of developing such channels to market, two segments are apparent. One involves specialist service providers whose pedigree can be traced back to M2M and mobile communications roots. These include businesses such as 1NCE, Eseye, Evrynet, Kore Wireless and WirelessLogic. In addition to building up operational scale, these service providers have also been the target of investor interest. Investment initiatives represent a mix of strategic stake building (e.g., Telus investment in Eseye, SoftBank stake in 1NCE) and scale-up ambitions linked to industry consolidation (e.g., WirelessLogic acquisitions of Com4 and Things Mobile). 

The second category involves cloud service providers such as Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud and Microsoft Azure. These providers acquired M2M connectivity expertise several years ago. In addition to commercial partnerships with established M2M service providers, Amazon acquired 2elemetry in 2015 while Microsoft acquired Solair in 2016. Since then, however, the cloud service provider segment has tended to focus more on tools and developer environments for the application of analytics and visualization as the driver of value. This segment’s strategy is a race to co-opt developer communities and to tie them to the different IoT platform environments.

Segment Strategies and Timing Horizons 

Structurally, the market is segmenting into groups of service providers that are looking at different ways to build scale. While the traditionalists, comprising M2M/IoT connectivity service providers and mobile network operators, focuses on connections, new-comers in the shape of cloud service providers are building scale around the concept of ‘walled gardens’ of IoT data. 

In the case of connections, an important driver of change is the eSIM. This technology enables new operating processes which help to streamline the stock-keeping unit (SKU) complexities associated with manufacturing devices for many different geographical markets. New operating processes also extend to managing connectivity and data handling charges that arise in large or regional deployments where several mobile network operators (MNOs) might be candidates for connectivity. eSIM technology helps connectivity service providers to mask the complexity of handling contracts with multiple MNOs. To some extent, the software option to switch connectivity providers also mitigates against provider lock-in and price escalation risks. 

By contrast, the cloud service provider strategies put a greater focus on data and data applications than connectivity. These strategies also appear to target a longer time horizon. There are two aspects to how these strategies manifest themselves in the market. One involves getting users familiar with each provider’s platform tools and environments. In the process, enterprise IT/OT teams accumulate expertise and become invested in one ‘home’ environment. This applies equally to developer communities that each cloud provider is cultivating through developer outreach efforts, on-line self-help tools and application development resources. The second aspect relates to the build-up of IoT data in a single environment. For large, user organizations, there are benefits from having a common interface to access a single (logical) repository of data that might span multiple IoT applications and several business units. In theory, this makes it easier to share data and to explore operational patterns that might exist in several manufacturing plants or locations. Easy access to data and to mixing-and-matching of data opens up new innovation possibilities. There is now an option value embedded in return-on-investment calculations because users have a pathway to developing second-generation IoT applications because they can access new data sources or implement solutions that tackle cross-silo business needs. 

IoT Communities of Interest 

For a different perspective on market scale, let us is to consider IoT communities of interest. One example is the Zigbee Alliance which rebranded itself to become the Connectivity Standards Alliance (CSA) around mid-2021. It also rebranded its Connected Home over IP (CHIP) project under the ‘Matter’ marketing label. This change is a good example of the need to shift the emphasis away from a technology, that would have been ground-breaking ten or so years ago. Now, the focus is on persuading adopters that those technologies are now largely mature and usable at scale. The investment in market development is also a sign that participating members see value in a collaborative initiative and neutral brand. 

Another community example involves the Industrial Internet Consortium which rebranded itself to become the Industry IoT Consortium. By evolving beyond a generic reference to the Internet, this community is now signalling the importance of solution approach that encompasses a wider set of technologies and business approaches associated with the IoT. 

The IoT technology-push of ten years ago is evolving to a market-pull now that IoT has grown to become a mainstream market. The change is down to adopters and users, including those at the margin, acknowledging the tangible benefits and value-potential of IoT solutions. A side consequence is that different industry participants are considering the impact of IoT systems not just in industry verticals but also for their impact on the wider economy. An example that illustrates this point is Filament STAC which is an IoT industry cluster in Scotland. This multi-company initiative was launched as an industry-government partnership aimed at producing Scottish IoT companies capable of scaling rapidly. It has a three-year target to create more than 25 IoT companies supporting around 750 jobs. In December, it announced backing from several, US tech businesses including Twilio, Plexus Corp, Intel Corporation, Keysight and Arrow Electronics. While this initiative focuses on a localized, geographic cluster it illustrates the growing importance of strategic, national initiatives. 

A well-known example that began several years ago is the UK’s Catalyst program which targets promising segments. Another is the business and technology ecosystem approach promoted by Business Finland which brings together local businesses and promotes complementary expertise and technologies such as AI and IoT. These examples suggest that government and regional development agencies will play a greater role in part-funding and orchestrating strategic areas of the IoT market. 

Developments To Watch 

While the journey to implementing IoT systems looks like a well-trodden path, it is not free of risk and there are still grounds for acting with prudence. Adopters and supply-side innovators need to weigh the long-term implications of initial design decisions and the opportunities that might be sacrificed against the allure fast-to-market strategies. The first issue is the extent to which a user locks itself into a vendor, solution-provider, or technology environment. How real are the switching opportunities in the future and, what might be the associated costs? Also, as a user’s needs evolve, is the underlying technology or supplier team capable of adapting to support deployments that might operate and evolve for periods of 5 to 10 years? 

One "Pane of Glass" (source IEEE, 2021)
A second development to manage stems from the vast opportunity space for IoT applications when considering combinations of data sources and applications. This is where businesses need to focus on interoperability. Consider an example from the early days of the M2M market. Then, application enablement platform (AEP) providers would talk about a single-pane view when overseeing a handful of applications. The metaphor comes from an operator avoiding the need to swivel their chair from one display unit to the next when supervising several applications. This remains an issue in today’s IoT market to the extent that it featured in a cloud computing standard that the IEEE announced in December to facilitate intercloud interoperability and federation [2]. 

In the wider scheme of things, there are multiple facets to the concept of interoperability. It can apply to the interchangeability of components sourced from different suppliers, or to the ability to switch connectivity across different communications networks. In the future, interoperability will apply to silo-applications and IoT data with the aim of making data discoverable, recognizable, and shareable in multi-user environments. While hardware and connectivity interoperability is important today, an important topic for the future concerns data interoperability which applies to combining data hosted in different cloud-provider environments to highly automated IoT systems that depend on semantic capabilities. 

A final consideration is about anticipating and positioning for continuing evolution in the IoT market. How do hardware providers deal with the value squeeze arising from economies of scale and impact on per-unit pricing? In a different segment of the market, connectivity providers have experienced many years of per-device revenue dilution. How do they position themselves to drive revenue and profitability growth through complementary services and entry into new markets linked to the rise of AI and data management? Unlike the start-up scene from the beginning of this article, established service and solution providers companies are higher up the IoT staircase. While they are up and running, there are many more steps to climb. 



[1] The 1,200 IoT companies that are creating the connected world of the future – IoT Startup Landscape 2021 https://iot-analytics.com/iot-startup-landscape/ 

[2] IEEE Approves Cloud Computing Standard - https://www.standict.eu/news/ieee-intercloud-interoperability-standard 


IMAGE CREDITS: Jukan Tateisi and Lindsay Henwood via unsplash.com

Jul 21, 2021

How Outsiders are Shaping the Telecommunications Market

A few weeks ago, the editorial panel at IoT Now invited me to give a short talk about innovation in the communications sector and the implications for digital transformation. This talk was part of a series of webinars [1] on 5G promoted by Fibocom, the global supplier of wireless communication modules and IoT solutions.

The key messages from this presentation are worth repeating in light of a recent technology licensing announcement [2] involving Huawei and Volkswagen (VW). This illustrates a reversal of the mobile industry’s approach to service adjacent markets. Now, organizations in adjacent markets are entering the mobile ecosystem through initiatives that will influence mobile operator strategies and business practices.

Feb 11, 2021

IoT Platforms and Digital Regulation

A couple of recent and seemingly unconnected publications provide food for strategic thought on the topic of IoT platforms. 

Platforms are an important topic for the following reasons. As businesses deploy Internet of Things applications, many will turn to the service provider market for affordable, feature-rich, and well-engineered platforms. Platforms also represent an important topic for the large Cloud-providers, such as Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud and Microsoft Azure, who understand the importance of platform strategies and data. 

The first publication that caught my attention is a short article on the IoT Agenda site. It outlines that issues of IoT technology fragmentation and discusses the trend towards concentration in the IoT platform market [1]. The second is a study by a group of economists with an expertise in platform economics and competition policy. They studied the EU’s Digital Markets Act (DMA) and its regulatory implications for large and dominant digital platforms [2]. 

Jan 8, 2021

2020 in Review: Corporates Adapt Their IoT Business Models

This review of 2020 corporate initiatives in the IoT market builds on a history of tracking strategic industry developments for over a decade. Two sets of corporate events that bookended the start and end of 2020 provide instructive examples of the roadmap and dead ends that characterize today’s IoT market. In the intervening months, organizations in different parts of the industry ecosystem bolstered their IoT strategies. Some developed complementary capabilities through M&A while others addressed go-to-market issues through business reorganization and product-innovation initiatives. For many organizations, however, there remain challenges in balancing short term imperatives with strategic positioning goals. There is a degree of comfort in embracing the familiar. The risk is that this leads to an under-investment in properly integrating new business approaches and complementary technologies.

Nov 13, 2020

Where the IoT Market is Heading

I delivered a presentation some weeks back at an online conference for the managed-services industry. My talk was about the implications of IoT for digital transformation [1]. To prepare for the presentation, I began by looking back over the past decade of market developments, joining a sequence of past and present developments to see into the future of IoT. This exercise provided useful insights into the evolving pattern of customer needs, consequences for where the market is heading and, implications for strategy and business innovation.

Mar 26, 2020

Regulation and Competitive Advantage

A couple of years ago, I was in conversation with a group of technologists and investors at the annual meeting of the Transportation Research Board. This gathering takes place every January in Washington DC. Think of it as the transportation industry's equivalent of Mobile World Congress. 

Our group was discussing the then emerging market for connected cars. I threw in a question about the impact of regulation on their business strategies. Regulation matters in relation to safety, liability and insurance solutions, and data management. Factors such as these matter more to commercial viability than technical innovations. The need to factor regulation into technology choices and business models was evident even then. The universal response I got from the group was that innovators needed to be given the leeway to develop the technology and novel services. Putting it explicitly, regulators needed to stay well out of the way.

The same issues are apparent as new markets develop on top of the foundations of mobile communications. One example is the sharing of consumer data derived from mobile phones [1]. Another is Facebook's difficulties in launching its Libra currency and payments initiative, ahead of regulatory buy-in.

Jan 10, 2020

2019 in Review: A changed IoT landscape

The turn of the year has triggered many people to reflect on what they were doing 10 years ago. With that in mind, I looked through my tracker of M2M and IoT corporate initiatives to see what has changed and what we might learn about the future. The main categories of initiative include the following: technology innovation, market entry/expansion, partnering, acquisitions/investments, distributor agreements, product/service innovation, business reorganization and outsourcing.

A more tightly knit IoT value-chain 

A snapshot of the 2009 industry covers a relatively well defined mobile-industry ecosystem. This largely centered on mobile operator initiatives, driven by leading operators and supported by GSMA efforts to develop a new market for the mobile ecosystem.