Our group was discussing the then emerging market for connected cars. I threw in a question about the impact of regulation on their business strategies. Regulation matters in relation to safety, liability and insurance solutions, and data management. Factors such as these matter more to commercial viability than technical innovations. The need to factor regulation into technology choices and business models was evident even then. The universal response I got from the group was that innovators needed to be given the leeway to develop the technology and novel services. Putting it explicitly, regulators needed to stay well out of the way.
The same issues are apparent as new markets develop on top of the foundations of mobile communications. One example is the sharing of consumer data derived from mobile phones [1]. Another is Facebook's difficulties in launching its Libra currency and payments initiative, ahead of regulatory buy-in.
New markets, new rules
One reason is the stance that the European Union (EU) is taking on the topic of new markets for data. A few weeks ago, the EU announced a data strategy initiative for Europe [2]. In seeking to make the EU a leader in the data-driven society, its proposals will create a new single market. This is generally positive for economies of scale, standardization and innovation.
Once the details materialize, The EU’s proposals will have far reaching implications for businesses and not just in Europe. The adoption of GDPR rules by non-EU firms has already shown the way in the case of personal data.
There have been complaints about the cost and implementation burden of adopting GDPR, especially for startups and small businesses. My informal research on the issue contradicts this view. GDPR provides a framework around which innovators see ways to enhance their core offering by demonstrating a commitment to a high standard of data stewardship. Microsoft is a recent example of an organization that is using GDPR compliance as a competitive differentiator [3] as are others [4]. Another benefit of a rules-based system, in the words of one start-up, is that it helps conforming businesses to differentiate themselves from 'cowboy' outfits.
The EU's new data strategy aims to empower people, businesses and organizations to make better decisions from non-personal data. In the absence of significant buy-in to rules emanating from large markets (e.g. China, India) and gridlock at the Federal level in the USA, decisions made in Europe will establish the foundation for whatever happens elsewhere. An example of the change in influence comes from the recent agreement between non-EU firms such as AirBnB and Expedia to share data with the EU [5]. This outcome follows from a set of guidelines published in 2016. Think of this as a benchmark when estimating the lead time for implementation planning.
The upside of rules
The EU's new data strategy will draw a critical mass of innovators and investors. It will spawn new value-chains and partner eco-systems, creating opportunities for business model innovation. There are benefits for incumbents to be proactive in planning their solution strategies around new rules. However, this requires a shift away from viewing rules as an onerous obligation. By treating rules as a mechanism for certainty, business can de-risk strategies. They can also avoid betting on not being subjected to eventual government rules that might put them out of business [6].
[1] FCC proposes over $200m in fines against four largest wireless carriers for apparently failing to adequately protect consumer location data https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/DOC-362754A1.pdf
[2] European Data Strategy - https://ec.europa.eu/info/strategy/priorities-2019-2024/europe-fit-digital-age/european-data-strategy_en
[3] Microsoft cloud now ticks GDPR https://us16.campaign-archive.com/?u=625563fede2e41349e3c1ac05&id=69141b735b
[4] Championing Data Protection and Privacy - A Source of Competitive Advantage in the Digital Century https://www.capgemini.com/championing-data-protection-and-privacy/
[5] The Commission has reached a landmark agreement with Airbnb, Booking, Expedia Group and Tripadvisor on data sharing https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_20_194
[6] London's Uber ban shows how much of the company's business is based on regulatory arbitrage https://www.businessinsider.com/ubers-is-based-on-regulatory-arbitrage-2017-9?op=1
9 April 2020 update
ReplyDeleteZoom forms cybersecurity council, adds former Facebook security chief as an advisor
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/zoom-forms-cybersecurity-council-adds-former-facebook-security-chief-as-an-advisor-2020-04-08
9 April 2020
ReplyDeleteTwitter notifies users that it’s now sharing more data with advertisers - Users in Europe are the exception
https://www.theverge.com/2020/4/8/21213593/twitter-data-sharing-pop-up-mobile-app-advertising-settings
10 April 2020 update
ReplyDeleteTurning New Regulations into IoT Opportunity: How to Become a Trusted Business Partner
In this edition, learn how a technology vendor recognized a need in the market after new industry regulations were introduced and transformed into a trusted business advisor and broader tech expert.
https://www.comptia.org/content/use-cases/turning-new-regulations-into-iot-opportunity/
10 June 2021 update (via Google Translate)
ReplyDeleteThis week, the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag adopted the position paper "Strategy for a standardization offensive for Europe". The digital policy spokesman of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group, Tankred Schipanski, and the responsible rapporteur Thomas Heilmann explain:
Tancred Shipanski: "Only the well-known GSM mobile communications standard made it possible for us to make calls and send SMS worldwide with the same mobile phone. Both consumers and Europe's telecommunications industry benefited enormously from this standard. If you want to be economically successful, you have to set standards. In the digital world, on the other hand, standards are increasingly set by private companies outside Europe. As a result, Germany and Europe are losing their economic influence. We want to counteract this. Our position paper defines 20 concrete measures to help Germany and Europe become pioneers in standardization again. These measures range from the creation of a European standardisation grant to the interoperability obligation of messenger services and real-time data sharing via standardised interfaces. In the future, messages can also be sent from Whatsapp to Telegram and vice around. That would be a real win to avoid lock-in effects and promote competition."
Thomas Heilmann: "Since the 19th century, Germany has been the leading nation in standard setting for products. That was the basis for our economic miracle. In the area of software standards, most standards do not come from Germany and not from Europe. This must change in order for us to achieve digital sovereignty. For this we need radical measures. This paper is our master plan for how we can develop and implement standards faster in cooperation with industry. Only with more standardization will smaller companies have a chance alongside monopolists such as Google and Facebook. This can only be achieved in Europe, which is why I am pleased with the support from the EPP Group."
https://www.cducsu.de/presse/pressemitteilungen/standardisierung-bedeutet-wohlstandardisierung
22 May 2024 update
ReplyDeleteHow AI Is Changing Tech Policy Politics in Washington
In the tech sector, the political alliances that drive policymaking shift rapidly. The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) is changing them again. These new dynamics will influence the scope and scale of AI regulation in the United States and throughout the world.
In the first phase of internet-era tech policy, large majorities on both the left (“new Democrats”) and the right (“free market conservatives”) viewed technology as a force for good and the companies that created tech products as the crown jewels of American entrepreneurship and ingenuity (see Table 1). New economy acolytes battled old economy advocates over immigration, intellectual property, taxation, and regulation, with a bipartisan majority believing that what’s good for the internet was good for America.
The second phase witnessed more traditional liberal-conservative divides. The left sought tighter rules to control what they perceived as market failures and protect consumers, such as net neutrality and privacy rules, while the right wanted less interference with free speech and free enterprise.
The third phase reflected the emergence of populism on both the left and right, concurrent with the increasing power of Big Tech across the economy and society. These divisions do not always break down along party lines: Democratic Sen. Amy Klobuchar finds common cause with Republican Sen. Josh Hawley on antitrust, while Democratic Sen. Richard Blumenthal partners with Republican Sen. Marsha Blackburn on kids’ online safety. Experts on the left, such as Matt Stoller, find unexpected allies on the right, such as the Heritage Foundation.
Artificial intelligence is ushering in a fourth phase in tech politics, and the changes are unfolding quickly. The generative AI hype-cycle kicked off with the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022. Nearly 18 months later, new alignments are already starting to emerge that present new fault lines in debates about the optimal governance for the tech sector. With new fault lines come new opportunities for new coalitions. Former adversaries may become allies; former allies may part ways.
Unlike tech policy alliances rooted in economic philosophies, political ideology, or concerns about corporate influence and concentration, the AI schism is anchored in vastly different conceptions about the proper balance between government-imposed rules and open market-driven innovation.
On one side are “AI regulation optimists”: those who believe that government is up to the challenge of devising new rules and oversight structures to manage what they see as unprecedented risks. Many AI regulation optimists are also bullish on AI technology, but they believe regulation is necessary to constrain risks, and they believe we need regulation as soon as possible to contain risks before they emerge.
On the other side are “AI regulation skeptics”: those who fear new government rules will quash innovation, entrench larger platforms, and make it harder for startups to compete. The skeptics believe that openness will unlock the benefits of AI for society better than tight government oversight and that rules will stifle innovation and lead to further market concentration. The skeptics are pessimistic about the impact that government actors will have but optimistic about the impact the technology will have on our society.
This framework helps explain substantive alliances in the industry that even a year ago seemed impossible, as lawmakers, academics, think tanks, and civil society organizations try to adapt to new challenges and a new playing field.
https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/how-ai-is-changing-tech-policy-politics-in-washington